Today’s notice: What to think about as Trump’s latest Iran deadline approaches. First look at new Maine primary numbers. The changing world of the congressional appropriator. An update from the Bureau of Prisons. DHS’s new plan to squeeze Democratic cities. And: An update on our investigation into corporate donations and presidential libraries.
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Danger zone: By this time tomorrow, the world will know if Donald Trump’s latest deadline gambit with the Iranian regime worked — or led him to order American forces to openly attack civilian infrastructure.
There are a lot of unknowns here, but analysts broadly agree that Iran is unlikely to back down under pressure. They think Tehran will instead try to inflict economic and political pain in response to the threat of bombing, NOTUS’ Joe Gould, Anna Kramer and Hamed Ahmadi report.
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In other words, today is probably not the beginning of the end of this war. At his press conference yesterday, Trump said “I can’t tell” when asked whether the war was heating up or winding down. But if the president orders strikes of the magnitude he’s been discussing, there’s little doubt among experts that things will heat up.